Market Analysis: Bitcoin to continue to move sideways in the short-term

Quick Take

  • CryptoSlate has extensively covered the cost basis metric, but the next indicator we are looking at is realized price going above the long-term holder cost basis.
  • This occurred in each of the four bear markets roughly 3-6 months after the short-term cost basis flipped the long-term holder cost basis.
  • Each image shows the bear market, with the black circle going above LTH cost basis, and then the green circle shows realized price going above LTH RP.
  • This further supports our thesis that Bitcoin could tend to crab sideways in price in the short term until the realized price goes above the LTH cost basis.
  • Consolidation and accumulation under the $30,000 resistance are healthy, and the longer this occurs, the healthier it is for price appreciation in the long-term.
BTC Cost Basis: (Source: Glassnode)
BTC Cost Basis: (Source: Glassnode)
BTC Cost Basis: (Source: Glassnode)
BTC Cost Basis: (Source: Glassnode)
BTC Cost Basis: (Source: Glassnode)
BTC Cost Basis: (Source: Glassnode)
BTC Cost Basis: (Source: Glassnode)
BTC Cost Basis: (Source: Glassnode)

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