Blockchain prediction markets offer new hope for scientific validation

Blockchain prediction markets enable a new path to scientific validation, using crowdsourced forecasting to identify robust research

Opinion by: Sasha Shilina, PhD, founder of Episteme and researcher at Paradigm Research Institute

Decentralized prediction markets are gaining ground in the scientific world, offering an intriguing answer to the field’s ongoing reproducibility crisis. While a notable share of research findings fail to replicate in independent tests, supporters believe market-driven forecasting can speed up identifying robust studies.

Detractors remain cautious, worried that introducing financial wagers could compromise the measured, peer-reviewed process that has guided academic inquiry for centuries. The debate hinges on whether blockchain-based forecasting will elevate or destabilize scientific credibility.

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