Short-term Bitcoin traders were profitable for 66% of 2025: Will profits rise in 2026?

Short-term Bitcoin traders were profitable for 229 days this year despite the recent 30% correction in BTC price. Will this trend carry over into 2026?

Bitcoin’s (BTC) short-term holders (STHs) have spent 229 out of 345 days in profit, an outcome that appears contradictory given that BTC is at a negative year-to-date (YTD) return and struggles to trade above $100,000. 

However, beneath the weak headline performance, the structure of onchain positioning tells a different story.

Key takeaways:

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